Moody's Investors Service Risk Quantification Evaluate, manage, and mitigate climate risks and their impacts through scenario analysis, quantitative modelling and stress testing. (2), Guyana Copyright 2023 Moody's Analytics, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates. (2), Vanuatu (364), Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Mark came to Moodys from Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company (MassMutual), where he served as Chief Financial Officer of MassMutual U.S. In 2021, we set out three strategic priorities that are critical to meeting this need: sharpening our understanding of our customers needs, investing with intent to grow and scale, and collaborating, modernizing and innovating. (8), United States (2), Default Trends Global December 2022 Default Report - Excel Data, Default Trends Global: December 2022 Default Report, Structured Finance: November 2022 structured rating transitions, Default Trends Global: Compendium of 2021 corporate defaults, Default Trends - Latin America & Caribbean: Latin American corporate default rate will rise gradually in 2023 as growth stalls, Default Trends Global November 2022 Default Report - Excel Data, Structured Finance - Global : October 2022 structured rating transitions (Jan 2009 - October 2022) - Excel supplement, Structured Finance - Global : October 2022 structured rating transitions (Jan 1993 - October 2022) - Excel supplement, Structured Finance: October 2022 structured rating transitions. DRA also publishes impairment and loss studies for structured finance sectors. (53), U.S. Public Finance (1), Texas #MobileRightColumnContainerE606C799DE50411EA1A0827D375551BB .subheading, #RightColumnContainerE606C799DE50411EA1A0827D375551BB .subheading {display: none;}. (100), Other Studies Learn how Moody's ratings and analysis speak to the relative credit risk of debt instruments and securities across industries and asset classes around the globe. President & Chief Executive OfficerMoodys CorporationDirector since October 2020Robert Fauber, age 51, has served as the Companys President and Chief Executive Officer since January 2021. She served as a Public Governor of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). If this isn't what you are looking for, you can. Her experiences and expertise enhance the Boards ability to oversee the Companys global operations and effectively manage risk. (1), ESG Credit and Sustainable Finance Ms. Alsop holds a B.A. Firstly, as seen in Panel A of Figure 1.3, the credit quality of Swedish bond issuances has been decreasing, both since 2000 but more notably since 2009 when the market began growing substantially.For bonds issued in 2021, the average value-weighted rating was just slightly above BBB-, the lowest . (2), Eswatini (1), Florida Despite this challenge, Moodys again achieved considerable success, and I am impressed with the ways in which the Company has sustained and, in many areas, enhanced its contribution to financial market efficiency, transparency and fairness.As the pandemic has highlighted the demand for understanding of the complex and interconnected risks facing markets, businesses and economies, Moodys has stepped up to the challenge through its strategy of offering an integrated and holistic perspective on risk for customers.Important elements of this strategy in 2021 were the many investments made in new and evolving risk segments, including: cyber risk, Know Your Customer (KYC); Commercial Real Estate; Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG), and other high-growth adjacencies. Mr. Forlenza previously served on the board of the Advanced Medical Technology Association (AdvaMed), an international medical technology trade organization.Mr. We are proud that Moodys continues to be recognized for our leadership in this area, including a perfect score on the Human Rights Campaign Foundations Corporate Equality Index for the eleventh year in a row, our third consecutive year in the Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index, inclusion in the prestigious Civic 50 honor roll, and being named one of Americas Most Loved Workplaces by Newsweek.We see our role as a corporate citizen to help build a world where more people have access to opportunity and where everyone has the resources to grow and thrive. (2), Bahrain - Off Shore (2), Fiji (1), California (2), Kazakhstan He currently serves on the Executive Committee of the Board of Directors. (18), Colombia from Pennsylvania State University and is a certified project management professional. (6), Mercosur I am excited about our future and the many ways we will meet our customers evolving needs as we help them to decode risk and unlock opportunity.By investing in our business and acquiring new capabilities, we are enhancing the ways we serve our customers and our ability to reach new markets. The rating scale used by Moody's is: Rating Scale of Moody . He currently serves as President of the Moodys Foundation and is a member of the Board of Directors of BitSight Technologies, Inc. (2), Turks and Caicos Islands Ms Esperdy currently serves as the Non-Executive Chairman of Imperial Brands PLC (January 2020-present), where she was a Non-Executive Director and then Senior Independent Director (July 2016-December 2019). From April 2009 through April 2014, he served as Senior Vice PresidentCorporate Development of Moodys Corporation. Hogan has served as the companys Treasurer since September 2019. (2), Congo, Democratic Republic of (DRC) And, we will ensure that Moodys is a place where the best talent wants to come and stay through investments in our people and our culture. (2), Republic of Moldova Default, Transition, and Recovery: Global Corporate Defaults Push Past 2021's Year-End Total S&P Global Ratings Ratings360 (FOR RATED ISSUERS) S&P Global Market Intelligence CreditPro View our upcoming events. Default Trends - Latin America & Caribbean: Latin American corporate default rate will rise gradually in 2023 as growth stalls. Sector in-depth Refinancing risk rises for US companies as maturities peak, interest rates increase, economy weakens From 1992 to 1996, Mr. Fauber worked at NationsBank (now Bank of America) in the middle market commercial banking group.Mr. All rights reserved. (2), Gambia (6), Belize (2), Suriname (2), Saint Lucia London +44-20-7772-5456, Tokyo +813-5408-4110, Hong Kong A probability of default (PD) is already assigned to a specific risk measure, per guidance, and represents the percentage expectation to default, measured most frequently by assessing past dues. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You can also email us at [emailprotected] or He also served on the boards of ConvergEx Inc. from May 2007 to October 2013, Direct Line Insurance Group plc from April 2012 to October 2013 and WorldPay (Ship Midco Limited) from July 2011 to September 2013, and on the franchise board of Lloyds of London from September 2012 to May 2016.Mr. CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS AFFILIATES ARE THEIR CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MATERIALS, PRODUCTS, SERVICES AND INFORMATION PUBLISHED BY MOODYS (COLLECTIVELY, PUBLICATIONS) MAY INCLUDE SUCH CURRENT OPINIONS. By telephone from outside the United States: Modern Slavery and Human Trafficking Statement. (975), Financial Institutions (1), Idaho Mr. McDaniel currently is a director of John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (2005-present) and a member of the Board of Trustees of Muhlenberg College (2015-present).Mr. Senior Vice PresidentChief Information OfficerMona Breed is the Chief Information Officer (CIO) of Moodys Corporation. 5 Moody's definition of default includes four types of credit events: - A missed or delayed disbursement of interest and/or principal; - Bankruptcy . Forlenza served as the chief executive officer of a public, global medical technology company for approximately nine years. 12/31/2021: 21.08: 28.68: 11/30/2022: 3.52-13.12: 12/31/2022-.51-18.13: (10), Eurozone (2), Bhutan In the expanding area of sustainability, COP26 highlighted the importance of stakeholder requests for transparent corporate disclosures that capture both the short- and long-term impacts of physical risk and energy transition risk across industries and business operations. Product development work and acquisitions complemented and enhanced investments in Moodys core credit ratings and research offerings, data and analytic capabilities, and will help ensure the continued relevance and value of these offerings to customers.The acquisition of RMS established Moodys as a leader in insurance and data analytics and brought valuable new expertise in modeling extreme weather and climate risk, as well as other catastrophes. Prior to this appointment, Mr. Tulenko was Executive Director of Enterprise Risk Solutions from 2013 to October 2019 and Executive Director of Sales, Customer Service and Marketing from 2008 to 2013. This document is intended to be provided only to wholesale clients within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. (6), Qatar MOODYS DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT OR IMPAIRMENT. (2), Paraguay Earlier in his career, he was also responsible for the research strategy for the ratings businesses and before that led Corporate Finance for the EMEA Region, European Corporates and the EMEA leveraged finance business. (2), Haiti In this role, Mr. Goggins is primarily responsible for providing legal advice to senior management and managing the provision of legal services by a team of inhouse lawyers and outside counsel. (2), Cayman Islands (1938), German Moody's returned $116 million to its stockholders via dividend payments during the fourth quarter of 2021. (2007) paper, which uses the Moody's hazard rate of default (if the credit rating for a firm is not available, . Mr. Kenney is also a Certified Information Systems Auditor (ISACA), Certified Informational Technology Professional (AICPA), Certified in Risk and Information Systems Controls and a Chartered Global Management Accountant. (2), Andorra Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold credit ratings from Moodys Investors Service and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading Investor Relations Corporate Governance Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy. Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODYS affiliate, Moodys Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moodys Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). (1), SGL Monitor The markets looked to Moodys for our expertise and insights in navigating evolving credit conditions, and many organizations sought our help in making better, more informed decisions in financing, screening, lending, insuring and investing. In 2021, Business Services and Hotel, Gaming & Leisure are expected to have the most defaults, followed by Oil & Gas. (1), B3 Negative and Lower (5), Macedonia (former Yugoslav Republic of) He has also served on the Board of Directors of ICRA Limited, Moodys affiliate in India. Before Moodys Analytics was formed in 2008, Mr. Tulenko developed extensive customer experience and held several leadership roles in sales, product development and marketing within Moodys. "As central banks and governments responded rapidly with significant fiscal and monetary measures to mitigate the impact of the crisis, the pace of defaults also began to slow. Mr. Howell previously served as a director of Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corporation, a medical devices company (2013-February 2021). While pandemic related risks to the economy remain present, we expect that the combination of vaccinations and policy support measures will support the economic recovery over the course of 2021, and the number of defaults this year will be lower than last year. (6), Bosnia and Herzegovina 12/31/2021: 31.57: 32.25: 11/30/2022: 5.44: 5.53: 12/31/2022: 0.67: 2.31: (5), Yemen He has served as the Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH), a business management consulting company, since 2016. He began his career in the investment banking division of Credit Suisse First Boston. Refinancing risk rises for US companies as maturities peak, interest rates increase, economy weakens. (2), Bermuda While 2021 was a year of challenges, it was also full of opportunities to invest and deliver for our customers. Click here to manage your preferences. You have reached the daily limit of Research email sharings. Mr. Fauber earned his B.A. our global press information hotlines: New York +1-212-553-0376, Looking back on my first year as CEO, I am enormously proud of the tremendous dedication and resilience of our employees as we delivered for our stakeholders through yet another year of the pandemic. As a result, he brings to the Board a deep understanding of the Companys business and operations as well as a historical perspective on the Companys strategy. (6), Mozambique 15 Dec 2022. (6), India (2), Lesotho (2), Trinidad & Tobago The 2021 global corporate default tally has increased to 69 following the defaults of China-based (Cayman Islands-incorporated) China Aoyuan Group Ltd. and one confidential issuer. Subscribers can access the report at: http://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1258722. He served as a director of Citibank N.A. (4), Infrastructure Renewal and Investment In 2021, Ms. Ms. Elliott earned a B.A. (53), Jersey Moodys seeks to be a compass for our customers by leveraging our rich history and diverse expertise to provide a holistic view of risk and opportunity. 2 and 3 respectively.MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY125,000 to approximately JPY550,000,000.MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements. Her various executive roles at Cisco Systems, Inc. allow her to bring extensive leadership experience and a strong background in information technology and business operations to the Board. In this new report, Moody's forecasts that the rate will peak at 7.3% in March 2021, and then decline to 4.7% by December. The peak baseline estimate for the default rate was lowered from February 2021's 12.1% (as of early August 2020) to March -February 2021's 11.4% (as of early September). These impressive results are the product of the many investments we have made in our people and our offerings and speak to the value that customers place on our expertise and solutions. (5), Growth: Macroeconomic outlook & insights on fiscal and monetary policies So far in the fourth quarter there have been nine defaults, four based in China as Chinese real estate developers continue to face funding challenges (see "Asia-Pacific Credit Outlook 2022 China Decelerates, Fed . (5), Cameroon (6), Central African Republic (2), Tunisia TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION 1 GOVERNANCE 2 STRATEGY 3 RISKS ASSOCIATED TO CLIMATE CHANGE 3 . (1), Virginia (6), Equatorial Guinea Thank you for your interest in sharing Moody's Research. (2021) note that one third of all U.S. corporate bonds have a fixed call feature, . (6), Guinea The aggregation is customized to each firm. This increases for the lowest investment grade credit rating 'BBB-' to 2.84%. Our commitment to environmental sustainability includes accelerating our net zero emissions target by ten years, from 2050 to 2040, consistently engaging in the ongoing global dialogue around ESG and climate disclosures, and executing on our public decarbonization plan.We are proud that our efforts led to recognition as a 2021 Global Compact LEAD company and an A List score from CDP, recognizing Moodys as one of a small number of high-performing companies that are leading actions to cut emissions, mitigate climate risks and develop the low-carbon economy. Already a Client? Retired Chief Risk OfficerCitigroup, Inc.Director since April 2011Jorge A. Bermudez, age 70, is a member of the Audit, Governance & Nominating and Compensation & Human Resources Committees of the Board of Directors. (6), Syria Exposure at default is an estimated value that predicts the amount of loss a bank may experience when a debtor defaults on a loan. Recipient email addresses will not be used in mailing lists or redistributed. - statistical model . He currently serves as a member of the Board of Trustees of Lehigh University since rejoining the Board in July 2020 after previously serving from 2011 to 2017. Page 1 of 11 INTRODUCTION According to the United Nations Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), human-induced . Chief Financial OfficerMark Kaye is the Chief Financial Officer of Moodys Corporation with responsibility and oversight for all global financial activities. (2), Romania (2), Saudi Arabia Mr. Goggins joined the firm in 1999 as Vice President and Associate General Counsel. NOTE TO JOURNALISTS ONLY: For more information, please call one of MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2023 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. Moody's anticipates revenue growth in the low single-digits in 2021 and 2022, supported by increasing spending by consumers, a pickup in demand for travel and other products that were. (2), Brunei Darussalam Over the first half of 2021, Moody's repurchased 1.6 million shares at a total cost of $503 million, or an average cost of $318.03 per share, and issued net 0.7 million shares as part of its employee stock-based compensation programs. Her experience as the Chairman of the Financial Accounting Standards Board, executive at a major bank and auditor for a major accounting firm allows her to bring to the Board significant knowledge of global accounting and financial reporting matters in addition to regulatory and senior management experience. (6), South Korea Mr. Bermudez joined Citigroup in 1975 and held leadership positions in other divisions, including equity investments, credit policy and corporate banking from 1984 to 1996. (2), Cyprus (2), Chad CLICK HERE Contact & Support Nick Kraemer Head of Ratings Performance Analytics P. + 1 (212) 438-1698 E. nick.kraemer@spglobal.com This rating is assigned to less creditworthy carriers and securities by the ratings . CREDIT RATINGS, NON-CREDIT ASSESSMENTS (ASSESSMENTS), AND OTHER OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODYS PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. 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